Market review

Brent Hits Its Highest Monthly Average Since 2008

Brent crude averaged $125 a barrel in October, up 7.0% on the month and the highest since July 2008, while wind and solar supplied 18.9% of the world's electricity in September.

The month in figures · October 2026

Brent crude
125,0 $/hordóup: 7.0%
thin stocks, tanker shortage, ship attacks
World Bank
2 months (Sept 2026 – Oct 2026): 116,8–125,0 $/hordó, latest 125,0 $/hordó.
Wind + solar share
18,9%up: 0.6 percentage points
solar output 20% above last year
Ember, September
2 months (Sept 2026 – Oct 2026): 18,3–18,9%, latest 18,9%.
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Oil kept climbing in October. Brent averaged $125.0 a barrel, up 7.0% on September and 93.2% on a year earlier, the highest monthly average since July 2008, according to the World Bank's November Pink Sheet (World Bank, 2026a). The bank's energy price index rose 7.1%, a far gentler move than September's 25.7%. The power sector offered better news: wind and solar generated 18.9% of the world's electricity in September, 0.6 percentage points more than in August and 2.0 points more than a year earlier, according to monthly data from Ember (2026).

Energy market indicators, October 2026

Monthly average prices and changes

IndicatorUnitValueMonth on monthYear on year
Brent crude$/bbl125.0+7.0%+93.2%
Dubai crude$/bbl102.7+10.1%+59.7%
WTI crude$/bbl97.7+0.8%+62.3%
Natural gas (TTF)$/MMBtu28.50+12.1%+161.7%
LNG (Japan)$/MMBtu16.59+2.0%+49.5%
Thermal coal (Australia)$/t152.3+3.5%+41.7%
Wind + solar share, world (September)%18.9+0.6 pts+2.0 pts

Source: World Bank (Pink Sheet, November 2026); Ember (monthly electricity data)

Brent at a 2008 high

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October's average was 3.8% above this year's April peak of $120.4/bbl and above the highest monthly average of the 2022 energy crisis, $120.1/bbl. In the World Bank's series, Brent was last higher in June and July 2008, at $133.0 and $133.9/bbl. Compared with last December's $62.7/bbl, the price has almost doubled; the average for January to October stands at $97.1/bbl.

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The rise was uneven across grades. Middle Eastern Dubai crude gained 10.1% to $102.7/bbl, while US WTI added only 0.8% to $97.7/bbl. That widened the Brent–WTI spread from $19.9 in September to $27.3 in October. US energy prices barely moved at all: Henry Hub gas was essentially flat at $2.96/MMBtu.

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