Market review

Record Copper Drives Up Water Infrastructure Costs

Copper averaged its highest monthly price on the World Bank's record in September, while energy and borrowing costs rose and a strengthening El Niño raised drought risks across several regions.

The month in figures · September 2026

Water prices, EU – vs a year ago
4,6%up: 0.1 percentage points
steady at 4.5–4.7% since June
Eurostat, August
Copper
14 474 $/tup: 1.0%
record high, tight supply
World Bank
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Copper averaged $14,474 per tonne in September, 1% more than in August and 45% more than a year earlier. That is the highest monthly average in the World Bank's price series, which begins in 1960 (World Bank, 2026b). Copper runs through a water utility's asset base, from pump motors and cabling to valves and fittings, so the metal's price feeds directly into the cost of new schemes and renewals. September also brought sharply higher energy prices and a round of interest rate rises, while the World Bank warned that a strengthening El Niño would raise drought and flood risks well into 2027.

Market indicators for the water sector, September 2026

Monthly average prices and changes

CommodityUnitPriceMonth on monthYear on year
Copper$/t14,474+1.0%+45.0%
Brent crude$/bbl116.8+28.5%+71.8%
Natural gas (TTF)$/MMBtu25.42+20.4%+128.6%

Source: World Bank (Pink Sheet, October 2026)

Copper at a record

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The climb has been almost uninterrupted for a year. Copper averaged $9,984/t in September 2025, reached $11,785/t in December and $13,012/t in January. A spring dip took it to $12,529/t in March; it then held around $13,500/t through the summer before rising to $14,326/t in August and setting a new high in September. Against June's $13,552/t, the three-month gain is 6.8%.

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The September step was small, but the level is exceptional. Based on the quarterly averages, copper has averaged about $13,431/t over the first nine months of the year. In April the World Bank forecast a 2026 average of $12,000/t, a rise of 21% on the 2025 average of $9,947/t (World Bank, 2026d). For the full-year average to land there, prices would have to fall to around $7,700/t on average in the final quarter. Nothing in the current market points that way.

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Water prices, EU – vs a year ago
4,6%unchanged: 0.0 percentage points
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